BATBasic Attention

Rank #48 of 50$0.077641

OVERHEATED

4IOX RANK

Crowded longs — leverage is piled in on this coin. Coins in this bucket have historically lagged the average coin over the next week.

Higher than 4% of the 50 coins we rank today. IOX is a crowding rank (0–100), not a probability — IOX 4 does not mean a 4% chance the price goes up.

IOX 100 = least crowdedIOX 0 = most crowded

P · outperform peers · 7d49.2%

-0.8 pts off a 50% coin-flip — a modest, honest tilt.80% of 7-day outcomes land within ±8.7% — the model’s global calibration band, the same on every coin because we rank crowding, not the return.

7-day funding+0.010%/8h

IOX rank4/100

Recent & coverage

IOX rank · 7-day change4 → 4 ▲0higher = less crowded

7-day funding · change+0.010% → +0.010%per 8h

Funding vs its own range84 pctile100 = most crowded it’s been (55d)

Tracked since2026-05-3055 daily scores on record

Source: Binance perpetual funding · model iox-v1 · S=-z(funding_7d) · 1 factor (out-of-sample-tested) · recomputed daily, saved point-in-time before the outcome is known.

Tension — the coiled spring

context, not scored

The funding rate is the fee traders pay to keep a leveraged bet open. When that fee gets big — in either direction — the market in BAT is lopsided and wound up like a spring. Wound-tight coins have historically moved harder than usual over the following days; which way is unknown.

88tension pctile

relaxedwound tight

ELEVATED — More wound-up than most coins today — historically a modest lean toward bigger-than-usual moves, direction unknown.

The stretched side here is the long side — bets on a rise are paying the fee. That does not mean “it will rise” — see the crowding read above: crowded longs have, if anything, historically lagged.

Tension = the size of 7-day funding, sign ignored, ranked across the 68 coins scored today. Tested on 2019→2026 history including delisted coins (adding them back roughly halves the effect — we quote the smaller number). A real but modest lean, not an explosion predictor. Most of these coins have no options market — no implied-volatility gauge exists for them, so this crowding-based read is a rare forward-movement gauge. Not part of the IOX score · not advice. How we validated this →

Why this read

Its 7-day funding sits high versus the rest of the liquid universe — traders are paying to stay long, the classic sign of a crowded trade.

IOX ranks BAT on one factor that held up in honest out-of-sample testing — funding crowding. It is a calibrated read of how crowded the leverage is, shown with its uncertainty — not a price prediction. On any single coin, the next move is close to a coin-flip; the small edge shows up only on average, across the whole ranked list — never on one name. And even that edge is small and not yet proven, being verified live in the open on the track record.

What this is not

Not a buy signal — a calm setup is not a guaranteed gain.
Not a short signal — a crowded setup is not an automatic short.
Not a price target or a prediction of where BAT goes next.
Not investment advice — it’s research; you decide.

On-chain cost basis

Ethereum DEX · context, not scored

Where recent on-chain buying sits versus today’s price — a rough read on whether the recent buying of BAT on Ethereum DEXes is in profit or underwater.

100%of the last 90 days of on-chain buying is underwaterbought above today’s price, by dollar volume

−21%volume-weighted DEX cost basis vs todaysampled ETH-DEX buys, ~90 days

Ethereum DEX trades only — not centralized exchanges or other chains, and weighted by dollar volume, not a count of people. Based on $1.5M of sampled on-chain buys through 2026-07-09. Context for the curious — not part of the IOX score, and not advice.