AVAXAvalanche

Rank #26 of 50$6.45

MILD

49IOX RANK

Crowding sits near the middle of the pack — no strong tilt either way today.

Higher than 49% of the 50 coins we rank today. IOX is a crowding rank (0–100), not a probability — IOX 49 does not mean a 49% chance the price goes up.

IOX 100 = least crowdedIOX 0 = most crowded

P · outperform peers · 7d49.8%

-0.2 pts off a 50% coin-flip — a modest, honest tilt.80% of 7-day outcomes land within ±8.7% — the model’s global calibration band, the same on every coin because we rank crowding, not the return.

7-day funding+0.003%/8h

IOX rank49/100

Recent & coverage

IOX rank · 7-day change55 → 49 ▼6higher = less crowded

7-day funding · change+0.003% → +0.003%per 8h

Funding vs its own range57 pctile100 = most crowded it’s been (56d)

Tracked since2026-05-2956 daily scores on record

Source: Binance perpetual funding · model iox-v1 · S=-z(funding_7d) · 1 factor (out-of-sample-tested) · recomputed daily, saved point-in-time before the outcome is known.

Tension — the coiled spring

context, not scored

The funding rate is the fee traders pay to keep a leveraged bet open. When that fee gets big — in either direction — the market in AVAX is lopsided and wound up like a spring. Wound-tight coins have historically moved harder than usual over the following days; which way is unknown.

40tension pctile

relaxedwound tight

TYPICAL — About average — no unusual spring-loading today.

Tension = the size of 7-day funding, sign ignored, ranked across the 68 coins scored today. Tested on 2019→2026 history including delisted coins (adding them back roughly halves the effect — we quote the smaller number). A real but modest lean, not an explosion predictor. Most of these coins have no options market — no implied-volatility gauge exists for them, so this crowding-based read is a rare forward-movement gauge. Not part of the IOX score · not advice. How we validated this →

Why this read

Its 7-day funding is around the universe average — neither a crowded long nor an unusually clean setup right now.

IOX ranks AVAX on one factor that held up in honest out-of-sample testing — funding crowding. It is a calibrated read of how crowded the leverage is, shown with its uncertainty — not a price prediction. On any single coin, the next move is close to a coin-flip; the small edge shows up only on average, across the whole ranked list — never on one name. And even that edge is small and not yet proven, being verified live in the open on the track record.

What this is not

Not a buy signal — a calm setup is not a guaranteed gain.
Not a short signal — a crowded setup is not an automatic short.
Not a price target or a prediction of where AVAX goes next.
Not investment advice — it’s research; you decide.